The Arab Spring May Suck Western Nations Into War

Posted on January 17, 2013


…and today, al Qaeda is on its heels and Osama bin Laden is no more.

Those words were spoken for the first time by the arrogant, chest thumping, narcissist President of the United States of America at a campaign fun raiser in San Francisco on October 8, 2012 less than a month after an al Qaeda affiliated group attacked our CIA diplomatic mission in Benghazi, Libya killing four Americans, including US Ambassador to Libya, Christopher Stevens. By some estimates, President Obama would repeat those words 38 more times.

The so-called Smartest Man in the Room couldn’t have been more wrong about al Qaeda.

We know that since the poorly named Arab Spring  that al Qaeda affiliated have free rein in Libya and managed to get their hands on part of what armaments of the fallen Gadaffi regime.  We know that, as the Arab Spring advanced  into Syria,  al Qaeda is one of the rebel groups fighting to bring down the regime of the Syrian president, Bashar al-Assad. We also know tha al Qaeda single-handedly invaded the country of Mali and now France with support from other NATO countries, including the United States, are engaging al Qaeda with the full force of their military and it looks to be a long battle. Today we learn from the Washington Post:

Al-Qaida-linked militants seize BP complex in Algeria, take hostages in revenge for Mali

A militant group claimed responsibility for the rare attack on one of oil-rich Algeria’s energy facilities, saying it came in revenge for the North African nation’s support for France’s military operation against al-Qaida-linked rebels in neighboring Mali. The militants said they were holding 41 foreigners from the energy complex, including seven Americans.

According to this USA Today article, seven of those foreign hostages are Americans and Fox News is reporting that the US is in talks with the Algerian government regarding the hostages.

So, dear friends, I do not speak lightly when I suggest that the Arab Spring may suck the US and other Western nations into a war; potentially a long war that could spread to a large geographic area. In  a pay to view article The Times of London has this headline: Today Mali, tomorrow Nigeria for al-Qaeda. There have been reports for months about al Qaeda franchises across the whole breadth of North Central Africa. Can you imagine a guerilla style war over a zone of combat more than twice the size to the United States? That would have serious consequences on the already fragile economies of the US and Europe. On top of that, we are going to see, if we are not already seeing, an impact in the price of oil.

We may need to replace the term, Arab Spring, with something more appropriate. Do you have some suggestions?

Well, now you know what I’m thinking. What are your thoughts?

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Posted in: War