What have we accomplished in Afghanistan and in Iraq? Was it worth it?
We had a right and a duty to go to war in Afghanistan against the Taliban and their friends, al Qaeda. It was a noble cause. But we have been there 10 years.
I have long-held a theory about guerrilla war. They never end. They go on and on until one side decides to quit. We could have declared victory after two years and brought troops home. But we didn’t. We are still there. It has been announced that we will have all of our troops out of Afghanistan by sometime in 2014. We are going to negotiate with the Taliban. It seems clear that when we leave the Taliban will come back in force and will be supported by our “ally” Pakistan. A lot of precious blood and a lot of treasure has been lost as we continued the war. I ask again: Was it worth it? What did we accomplish. Have we stabilized the region? Do we now have strong allies in the region?
Did we have a right and a duty to go to war in Iraq? That is certainly debatable. We destroyed Saddam Hussein’s military in short order, We later captured Saddam and he was tried and executed. Did we then declare victory and bring our troops home? No, we stayed on for many more years to do some “nation building”. And, how has that worked out now that our troops have finally come home? The way I see it one of two things will happen in Iraq. There will either be a long drawn out civil war or the current regime will consolidate power and there will be another Saddam Hussein type government only this time it will be allied with Iran. So, was this war worth the blood and treasure spent? Did we accomplish anything of value?
WHAT THE HELL have we done? There should be no doubt in anybody’s mind that our State Department was behind what is now called the “Arab Spring”. We were led to believe that this would bring democracy to the long suffer people of the region. No one who was paying attention believed that. We all predicted exactly what was going to happen. Radical Muslim would come to power and there would be chaos in the region. Does anyone believe our State Department and our intelligence agencies didn’t know exactly what would happen? Of course they knew. So why did they do it? So far the only tangible result has been higher oil prices. Who would want higher oil prices? Think about it. And in Lybia we couldn’t let things follow their natural course. With the urging of the UN, we and NATO had to intercede. Remember the ” Responsibility to Protect” (R2P) policy? Apparently that policy only applied to Lybia. It clearly doesn’t apply to Syria. Why? Well, Syria has a powerful ally. Russia. So, the entire Middle East has been allowed, if not encouraged, to destabilize. Some of us tin-hatters predicted over a year ago that this was a prelude to war in the Middle East. Will Iran provide the needed excuse?
A nuclear Iran is unacceptable. So says the United States, Europe, Israel and, many of Iran’s Arab neighbors. All of the talking heads in the Obama administration hinting that war is inevitable. Republican presidential candidates Romney, Gingrich and, Santorum have indicated that they won’t tolerate a nuclear Iran. Many European heads of state have said the same So is war with Iran envitable? I must admit that the idea of a nuclear Iran scares the hell out of me. But let’s think about the consequences of such a war.
Nobody is talking about the consequences of going to war with Iran. Taking out Iran’s capacity to produce nuclear warheads will not be easy. Whether the attack is led by Israel or is led by the US, doesn’t matter. I ran is a big country. Their nuclear facilities are deep under ground. And, Iran has the capacity to fight back with their missiles. How can we confirm that we have really destroyed all of their nuclear capacity without putting boots on the ground? If we have to put boots on the ground, we are talking about a long drawn out war. There will be disruption to the flow of oil out of the Middle East and oil prices will raise: hurting the already fragile economies of Europe and the US.
As bad as the above described war with Iran would be, it could get a whole lot worse. The above described war assumes that China and Russia would sit on the sidelines. Do you believe that? Why is no one talking about the possibility that China and Russia might join the war on the side of Iran. I believe it is a real possibility. And now we are talking about World War III. There is nothing good that could come from such a war. Nothing! The world’s banksters might be happy but, no one else would be.
As I said earlier, the idea of a nuclear Iran scares the hell out of me. But folks, we really need to think real hard about whether or not we could live with a nuclear Iran. Stopping them from going nuclear could have devastating consequences.
Well, that’s what I’m thinking. What are your thoughts?