In the May 1 post here at Asylum Watch, I argued that it should be Muslim nations that should solve the Muslim problems of Syria; et. al. To my surprise, I learned this weekend that the Obama administration is thinking along similar lines. Maybe.
According to the Israel National News.Com, :
The proposal is reportedly known by participating diplomats as ‘4+1’, and is being brokered by the United States.
The word “maybe” above reflects that there has been no official confirmation that such a proposal is in the works. But, for the purposes of this post, let’s assume that the proposal is real. This is what the Israel National News article had to say:
Israel is considering partnering with several Sunni-Muslim Arab states in a U.S.-brokered defense alliance that would be aimed at containing a nuclear Iran, the Sunday Times reported, citing an unnamed Israeli official.
The alliance would see Israel teaming up with Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Turkey and the United Arab Emirates to forge a Middle East “moderate crescent” to “contain” Iran, rather than confront it, according to Russian website RT, which quoted the Times.
And the Times of Israel had this to say:
The so-called 4+1 plan is being brokered by Washington, and would mark a sharp shift in stated policy for the White House, which has insisted the US is not interested in containing Iran but rather stopping it before it reaches nuclear weapon capability.
The Sunni states of Saudi Arabia, UAE and Jordan are all opposed to Tehran shifting the regional power balance. Though Turkey maintains strong trade ties with Iran, it has found itself opposed to Tehran over the issue of Syria.
So, can you see Israel getting into bed with Saudi Arabia, The U.A.E., Jordan, and Turkey? Although it is hard to imagine, Israel and the Group of 4 do have a common enemy. That common enemy is the Shite Muslims, which means Iran. It is Iran that has propped up the minority Alawite ( Shite) regime of the Assads for years and, in return, Syria has been Iran’s proxy in supporting Hezbollah in Lebanon. And, since the US toppled Saddam Hussein, Iran has another Shite ally in Iraq.
In my May 1 post, I argued that the Arab Spring that toppled Hosni Mubarak in Egypt and Muammar al-Gaddafi, in Libya has ed into something else in Syria. In my opinion, the so-called civil war in Syria is about more than a regime change. I believe the Arab Spring has evolved into a war between the Sunni do nations and the Shite dominated nations and this is something the US and the West should stay out of. This chaos belongs to the Muslim nations and, if it has the possibility of being resolved, it will have to be done by the Muslims themselves. So, if this 4+1 plan is real, I find myself liking it. For me, it doesn’t matter if Israel agrees to join an official pact with the four Arab nations or not. We know that Israel will do what it has to do to protect their national interests, as their recent attacks near Damascus demonstrate. Therefore, in acting in their own self-interest, Israel would be effectively assisting the four Sunni Muslim nations.
The quote above from the Israel National News says the alliance would be to contain Iran rather than confront it. My reading of these words in bold is that the alliance would not be expected to confront the issue of a nuclear Iran. Nor should it, in my opinion.
What should be done about a nuclear Iran? I am going to tell you what I think and I would very much like to hear your opinions.
For much of my adult life I was a military hawk and supported every military action our government decided to take. I eventually ou grew that opinion. Yet, I never quite reached isolationist view of my libertarian friends. I still believe there are times when there is a threat to our national security that the US is justified in taking action.. My definition of what constitutes a threat to our national security is, I am sure, a bit broader than that of most libertarians.
Your humble observer here at Asylum Watch believes that the United States should put an end to Iran’s nuclear development facilities and it should be done sooner rather than later. I arrive at this position for two reasons:
- The Sunni Shite War is likely to go on for years whether there is a 4+1 Plan or not. Once Iran has nuclear weapons, the balance of power will shift toward Iran. A conventional war between the Sunni and the Shiite nations would favor the Sunni nations in the long run. The risk that a desperate Iran would resort to the use of a nuclear weapon can not be under estimated, in my opinion. Even the threat of their use of nuclear weapons would have a destabilizing effect on the world.
- The American people are not responsible for the monster that Iran has become. However, the American government is responsible. It was America’s CIA that supported a plan of the British intelligence agency, MI-6, to orchestrate an overthrow the legitimate government of Iran in 1953, which allowed Sha Reza Pahlavi to take power. We all know how that worked out. So, in my opinion, the United States created this potential threat and should take responsibility for removing the threat.
I am in no way suggesting that the United States should ever consider putting boots on the ground in Iran. I am suggesting that diplomacy has failed and the US should now make use of its smart missiles, smart bombs, and its bunker busters to put an end to Iran’s nuclear weapons development facilities and then withdraw from the region and leave the chaos to the regional powers to resolve.
I expect my views will not be popular with all of my friends. That’s okay.
Well, that’s what I’m thinking. What are your thoughts?